Sunday, April 1, 2007

Orgy of Speculation

Wild speculation reported as fact is now the norm in climate reportage. Willful suspension of disbelief is the prevailing stance it seems. Note the use of the word "likely" in the quote below. There is nothing likely about these modeling results, except continued funding due to emissions of press.

First, different models disagree dramatically on many regional climate forecasts. Some say rain will double (swamp), others that it will halve (desert), in the same places. If people were foolish enough to ask to see the local forecasts of all the mainline models, they would quickly learn that these are little more than billion dollar computer games.

So one wonders -- why do climate change impact forecasts at all until we get these models straightened out? A clear waste of taxpayer money. Second, all the models, taken together, are merely speculative. There is no likely there. Research should focus on resolving these huge unknowns.

Welcome to an orgy of speculation disguised as science. Enjoy the show.

Yellow-green journalism quote of the day:

"A new climate modeling study has identified regions of the world where greenhouse gas emissions during the next century are likely to cause the appearance of novel climates unlike anything that exists today."

From: Global Warming Forecasts Creation, Loss Of Climate Zones
Science Daily

The Washington Pest

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